S. Kozlov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -8.4 to 19.3, with at least one match where S. Kozlov was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving S. Kozlov vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — S. Kozlov has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

F. Passaro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 8.1, with at least one match where F. Passaro was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Passaro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.