Odds
Player analysis
R. Jodar comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.0, meaning R. Jodar has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving R. Jodar vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Jodar has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -35 over recent matches.
P. Marinkov has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -9.7 to 16.1, with at least one match where P. Marinkov was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Tabilo | 6-1 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Atmane | 6-2 4-6 6-1 | L |
| 24 Feb | Norrie | 6-3 6-2 | W |
| 20 Feb | Fritz | 7-6 6-4 | L |
| 17 Feb | Quinn | 2-6 3-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Feb | Zhang | 6-7 3-6 | L |
| 4 Feb | Uchiyama | 4-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 3 Feb | Blanch | 6-7 6-3 3-6 | W |
| 2 Feb | Bilozertsev | 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 1 Feb | Host | 6-4 6-4 | W |

