Odds
Player analysis
T. Paris comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.7 to 19.6, with at least one match where T. Paris was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving T. Paris vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
A. Gea has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.3 to 11.9, with at least one match where A. Gea was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.3/10, leaving A. Gea vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Gea has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Mar | Poullain | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 3 Mar | Virtanen | 4-6 6-1 6-7 | L |
| 22 Feb | Catry | 3-6 4-6 | L |
| 14 Nov | Broady | 6-7 4-6 | L |
| 13 Nov | Kukushkin | 6-3 6-2 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 14 Mar | Cecchinato | 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 13 Mar | Napolitano | 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 10 Mar | Bouchelaghem | 6-2 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 6 Mar | Napolitano | 7-6 5-7 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Hemery | 3-6 4-6 | W |

