Soma Bay 2HardSemi-finals18 Jan 2026 · 10:10
M. McKennon
#543 · USA
VS
Y. Erel
#388 · Turkey
MCKENNON
3.06
·
EREL
1.37

Odds

Market
McKennon
Erel
Winner
3.06
1.37

Player analysis

M. McKennon has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.3, meaning M. McKennon has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving M. McKennon vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. McKennon has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -12 over recent matches.

DS -1.28Trend mixed

Y. Erel shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 486. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.3. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving Y. Erel vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Y. Erel has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.

DS 5.26Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWLW

3W 2L last 5

20 JanMendez1-6 4-6L
19 JanBittoun6-7 6-7W
18 JanErel6-2 6-1W
26 NovMena3-6 4-6L
25 NovDickerson6-3 2-6 6-4W
Recent form bar chartWWLWW

4W 1L last 5

2 MarMcDonald7-5 6-3W
6 FebArtnak6-7 1-6W
28 JanBellucci4-6 4-6L
27 JanBarton5-7 2-6W
26 JanKachmazov6-4 6-3W

Hard court stats

McKennon
Stat
Erel
52.1%
Win rate
67.7%
61–56
W–L
176–84

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces6
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted40%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults3