Odds
Player analysis
K. Day has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -16.8 to 33.3, with at least one match where K. Day was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving K. Day vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +10 over the last five.
I. Shymanovich comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.6, meaning I. Shymanovich has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.9/10, leaving I. Shymanovich vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — I. Shymanovich has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 7 Mar | Swiatek | 0-6 6-7 | L |
| 5 Mar | Jones | 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 3 Mar | Semenistaja | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 2 Mar | Sasnovich | 6-2 7-5 | W |
| 21 Feb | Brengle | 6-2 6-4 | L |
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Mar | Monnet | 6-0 6-3 | L |
| 5 Mar | Oliynykova | 7-5 6-1 | L |
| 3 Mar | Pigato | 6-2 6-4 | W |
| 26 Feb | Papamichail | 6-3 2-6 1-6 | L |
| 24 Feb | Pigossi | 6-0 1-6 3-6 | W |

