Odds
Player analysis
F. Cobolli has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -11.4 to 24.7, with at least one match where F. Cobolli was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Cobolli vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
F. Comesana comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.5 to 23.8, with at least one match where F. Comesana was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.9/10, leaving F. Comesana vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — F. Comesana has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -14 over recent matches.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 21 Mar | Collignon | 7-5 6-3 | L |
| 9 Mar | Tiafoe | 1-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Kecmanovic | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | W |
| 1 Mar | Tiafoe | 7-6 6-4 | W |
| 28 Feb | Kecmanovic | 6-7 6-3 4-6 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 5 Apr | Quinn | 5-7 2-6 | W |
| 4 Apr | Arneodo | 2-6 1-6 | W |
| 19 Mar | Tabilo | 6-4 6-2 | L |
| 6 Mar | Korda | 7-5 6-0 | L |
| 25 Feb | Pellegrino | 6-7 7-6 3-6 | L |

