D. Stricker has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 29.7, with at least one match where D. Stricker was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — D. Stricker has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

M. Cerny comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.8, meaning M. Cerny has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving M. Cerny vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +11 over the last five.