F. Passaro comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -10.3 to 8.1, with at least one match where F. Passaro was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving F. Passaro vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

M. Cecchinato has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.0. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving M. Cecchinato vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+31) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.