K. Boulter has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.6 to 17.9, with at least one match where K. Boulter was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving K. Boulter vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

L. Giovannini comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -25.5, meaning L. Giovannini has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.7/10, leaving L. Giovannini vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — L. Giovannini has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -25 over recent matches.