MadridClayWTA Final21 Apr 2026 · 12:30
A. Blinkova
#89 · Russia
VS
E. Kalieva
#134 · USA
BLINKOVA
2.13
·
KALIEVA
1.75

Odds

Market
Blinkova
Kalieva
Winner
2.13
1.75
Total
line 19.0
1.36
Over 19.0
2.7
Under 19.0
Total
line 19.5
1.47
Over 19.5
2.35
Under 19.5
Handicap
games
1.41
-4.0 games
2.64
+4 games
Handicap
games
1.52
-3.5 games
2.33
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Blinkova comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning A. Blinkova has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 4.8/10, leaving A. Blinkova vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -6.13Trend mixed

E. Kalieva has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.8 to 15.9, with at least one match where E. Kalieva was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving E. Kalieva vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Kalieva has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -15 over recent matches.

DS 1.75Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Blinkova
Stat
Kalieva
54.4%
Win rate
57.3%
68–57
W–L
71–53

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won30%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults5
1st serve %60%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults5