Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Rublev
ATP #13Russia
VS
Z. Bergs
ATP #40Belgium
RUBLEV
1.42
·
BERGS
3.06

Odds

Market
Rublev
Bergs
Winner
1.42
3.06
Total
line 17.5
1.11
Over 17.5
4.9
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.13
Over 18.0
4.6
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
9.3
-7.5 games
1.03
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
8.8
-7.0 games
1.04
+7 games

Player analysis

A. Rublev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 50. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.1, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.12Trend mixed

Z. Bergs comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -4.9, meaning Z. Bergs has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — Z. Bergs has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -19 over recent matches.

DS -4.9Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rublev
Stat
Bergs
62.1%
Win rate
57.8%
121–74
W–L
67–49

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces7
Double faults4

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
RublevBergs

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #13Rublev vs BergsATP #40

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Rublev 62% (12174) · Bergs 58% (6749)

Quick comparison

RublevStatBergs
62%Clay W%58%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
40%BP conv (L5)30%
7Aces (L5 avg)7