Monte CarloClay1/16-finals8 Apr 2026 · 11:10
A. Rublev
#15 · Russia
VS
Z. Bergs
#40 · Belgium
RUBLEV
1.402
·
BERGS
3.16

Odds

Market
Rublev
Bergs
Winner
1.402
3.16
Total
line 23.5
2.2
Over 23.5
1.709
Under 23.5
Total
line 22.5
2.01
Over 22.5
1.84
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
2.48
-4.5 games
1.57
+4.5 games
Handicap
games
1.9
-3.5 games
1.95
+3.5 games

Player analysis

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.4, meaning A. Rublev has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -0.36Trend mixed

Z. Bergs has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -24.7 to 19.3, with at least one match where Z. Bergs was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving Z. Bergs vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 2.21Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Rublev
Stat
Bergs
62.1%
Win rate
57.5%
121–74
W–L
61–45

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults3
1st serve %50%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces4
Double faults5

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

11
Hard 01
Indoor 10
A. Rublev vs Z. Bergs head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
MiamiHard1/32-finalsBergs7-5 6-4
ATP RotterdamIndoor1/16-finalsRublev5-7 3-6