Odds
Player analysis
R. Bautista-Agut comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.6 to 26.1, with at least one match where R. Bautista-Agut was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving R. Bautista-Agut vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
J. Fearnley comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -6.1, meaning J. Fearnley has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving J. Fearnley vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — J. Fearnley has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 13 Mar | Royer | 4-6 6-7 | L |
| 12 Mar | Goffin | 6-1 6-4 | W |
| 7 Mar | Draper | 6-3 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 6 Mar | Marozsan | 4-6 7-6 4-6 | W |
| 9 Feb | Norrie | 6-7 1-6 | L |
1W 4L last 5
| 12 Mar | Cazaux | 2-6 6-3 1-6 | L |
| 8 Mar | Fritz | 3-6 7-6 1-6 | L |
| 5 Mar | Dzumhur | 6-3 6-3 | W |
| 23 Feb | Bouquier | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Chidekh | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | L |

