ShanghaiHard1/32-finals3 Oct 2025 · 08:35
S. Baez
#64 · Argentina
VS
H. Rune
#39 · Denmark
BAEZ
4.91
·
RUNE
1.21

Odds

Market
Baez
Rune
Winner
4.91
1.21
Total
line 17.5
1.19
Over 17.5
3.88
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.23
Over 18.0
3.58
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
3.64
-2.0 games
1.26
+2 games
Handicap
games
3.22
-2.5 games
1.32
+2.5 games

Player analysis

S. Baez comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -8.5, meaning S. Baez has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.5/10, leaving S. Baez vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -8.53Trend mixed

H. Rune shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 37. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.7/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.

DS 7.07Trend up

Recent form

LLWLW

2W 3L last 5

14 AprMachac2-6 6-4 6-1L
7 AprAlcaraz6-1 6-3L
6 AprWawrinka7-5 7-5W
3 AprDroguet4-6 4-6L
31 MarGaubas6-3 6-1W
WWLWW

4W 1L last 5

17 OctEtcheverry6-7 6-3 6-4 Ret.W
16 OctFucsovics6-4 6-4 Ret.W
9 OctVacherot6-2 6-7 4-6 Ret.L
7 OctPerricard4-6 7-6 3-6 Ret.W
5 OctHumbert4-6 4-6 Ret.W

Hard court stats

Baez
Stat
Rune
42.7%
Win rate
61.9%
47–63
W–L
13–8

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won60%
2nd serve won40%
BP converted60%
BP saved50%
Aces1
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces9
Double faults3

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

23
Hard 01
Clay 21
Indoor 01
S. Baez vs H. Rune head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ShanghaiHard1/32-finalsRune5-7 4-6
BarcelonaClay1/8-finalsRune4-6 6-1 6-2
ATP RomeClay1/16-finalsBaez2-6 6-2 6-3
ATP BaselIndoor1/8-finalsRune7-6 6-1
Buenos AiresClay1/16-finalsBaez7-6 6-3