Odds
Player analysis
R. Carballes Baena comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -13.7 to 25.5, with at least one match where R. Carballes Baena was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — R. Carballes Baena has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -47 over recent matches.
G. A. Bailly comes into this match in difficult form — 1 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.7, meaning G. A. Bailly has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving G. A. Bailly vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +15 over the last five.
Recent form
2W 3L last 5
| 10 Mar | Vasa | 4-6 6-3 6-7 | L |
| 3 Mar | Kopp | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 17 Feb | Zhang | 6-4 6-4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Mochizuki | 0-6 3-6 | W |
| 14 Feb | Miedler | 6-3 6-1 | W |
1W 4L last 5
| 10 Mar | Ghibaudo | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | L |
| 4 Mar | Herbert | 6-3 6-7 6-3 | L |
| 28 Jan | Sakellaridis | 3-6 2-6 | L |
| 27 Jan | Matsuoka | 6-1 6-3 | W |
| 20 Jan | Rehberg | 6-3 1-6 4-6 | L |

