Mexico CityClayFinal6 Apr 2026 · 19:10
A. Ayeni
ATP #432USA
VS
T. Colson
ATP #427Belgium
AYENI
2.56
·
COLSON
1.53

Odds

Market
Ayeni
Colson
Winner
2.56
1.53
Total
line 22.0
1.77
Over 22.0
1.92
Under 22.0
Total
line 22.5
1.78
Over 22.5
2.03
Under 22.5
Handicap
games
1.98
-2.0 games
1.81
+2 games
Handicap
games
1.86
-2.5 games
1.94
+2.5 games

Player analysis

A. Ayeni comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -3.9, meaning A. Ayeni has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving A. Ayeni vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Ayeni has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -20 over recent matches.

DS -3.87Trend mixed

T. Colson shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 227. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +5.1. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — T. Colson has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -21 over recent matches.

DS 5.08Trend mixed

Recent form

Clay court stats

Ayeni
Stat
Colson
38.2%
Win rate
51.8%
13–21
W–L
43–40

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted20%
BP saved60%
Aces5
Double faults5
1st serve %50%
1st serve won80%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved50%
Aces13
Double faults7

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
AyeniColson

No prior meetings

Clay 00first on clay
ATP #432Ayeni vs ColsonATP #427

Clay H2H: 00 — first meeting on clay

Clay win rate (season): Ayeni 38% (1321) · Colson 52% (4340)

Last match at Mexico City

No finished matches at Mexico City yet.

W11 Apr 2026 · Quarter-finals
vs A. Hernandez · 7-6 2-6 7-5
1st serve44%1st won88.6%Aces23BP conv27.3%

Quick comparison

AyeniStatColson
38%Clay W%52%
60%1st serve % (L5)50%
70%1st serve won (L5)80%
20%BP conv (L5)30%
5Aces (L5 avg)13