Odds
Player analysis
F. Auger-Aliassime has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -1.0, meaning F. Auger-Aliassime has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. Serve quality has been average (6.5/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability.
T. Droguet has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -0.9, meaning T. Droguet has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving T. Droguet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Good performance in key moments — break point efficiency of +20 over the last five.
Recent form
3W 2L last 5
| 10 Mar | Fils | 6-3 7-6 | L |
| 9 Mar | Diallo | 7-6 3-6 3-6 | W |
| 7 Mar | Monfils | 7-6 3-6 4-6 | W |
| 27 Feb | Medvedev | 4-6 2-6 | L |
| 26 Feb | Lehecka | 6-3 7-6 | W |
3W 2L last 5
| 27 Feb | Herbert | 4-6 6-2 6-2 | L |
| 26 Feb | Poullain | 6-2 2-6 4-6 | W |
| 25 Feb | Kouame | 6-7 4-6 | W |
| 20 Feb | Kym | 6-4 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 18 Feb | Skatov | 6-7 2-6 | W |

