FlorianopolisClay1/8-finals20 Nov 2025 · 15:10
M. Alves
#514 · Brazil
VS
G. Heide
#284 · Brazil
ALVES
3.97
·
HEIDE
1.26

Odds

Market
Alves
Heide
Winner
3.97
1.26
Total
line 20.5
1.72
Over 20.5
2.16
Under 20.5
Total
line 21.0
1.81
Over 21.0
2.03
Under 21.0
Handicap
games
2.84
-2.0 games
1.36
+2 games
Handicap
games
2.61
-2.5 games
1.49
+2.5 games

Player analysis

M. Alves comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -12.6 to 29.3, with at least one match where M. Alves was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving M. Alves vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — M. Alves has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -13 over recent matches.

DS 4.06Trend mixed

G. Heide comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -5.2, meaning G. Heide has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.7/10, leaving G. Heide vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -5.17Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLLWWL

2W 3L last 5

26 JanKestelboim4-6 6-4 2-6L
20 JanBueno6-4 2-6 2-6L
19 JanRatti6-4 6-4W
18 JanLino6-1 6-2W
12 JanAlmeida6-7 5-7L
Recent form bar chartLWWLL

2W 3L last 5

6 MarRibeiro6-4 4-6 6-4L
4 MarMarcondes4-6 6-4 4-6W
2 MarGalan6-1 4-6 7-6W
21 FebPrizmic6-2 7-5L
16 FebKopriva2-6 6-7L

Clay court stats

Alves
Stat
Heide
56%
Win rate
65.2%
131–103
W–L
137–73

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved40%
Aces3
Double faults4
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved50%
Aces2
Double faults7