Little RockHard1/8-finals29 May 2026 · 20:00
E. Aguiard
ATP #551Australia
VS
A. Ilagan
ATP #335USA

Prediction

Handicap — A. Ilagan -3.5
Odds: 1.82 · DeuceHQ model
29%
Ilagan win prob
71%
Model strength
1.82
Recommended odds

Odds

Market
Aguiard
Ilagan
Change
Winner
Total
line 21.5
1.86
Over 21.5
1.82
Under 21.5
Handicap
games
1.98
+3.5 games
1.72
-3.5 games

Player analysis

Aguiard (551) enters the quarterfinals with three wins in her last five matches, though she suffered a straight-set loss to K. Smith recently. She has yet to face Ilagan, who is ranked 216 positions higher.

DS 4.42Trend mixed

Ilagan (335) arrives with four wins in her last five outings and defeated D. Sweeny in straight sets. The American holds a significant ranking advantage over the Australian qualifier.

DS 4.64Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Aguiard
Stat
Ilagan
54.1%
Win rate
59.8%
20–17
W–L
113–76

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved60%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted50%
BP saved70%
Aces7
Double faults3

Head to head

First career meeting — rankings, last results at this tournament and a quick stat comparison below.

00
AguiardIlagan

No prior meetings

Hard 00first on hard
ATP #551Aguiard vs IlaganATP #335

Hard H2H: 00 — first meeting on hard

Hard win rate (season): Aguiard 54% (2017) · Ilagan 60% (11376)

Last match at Little Rock

W27 May 2026 · 1/16-finals
vs D. Sweeny · 3-6 4-6
1st serve54%1st won63.6%Aces8BP conv100%
W25 May 2026 · 1/16-finals
vs Y. Uchiyama · 6-7 6-4 7-5
1st serve53%1st won84.9%Aces8BP conv37.5%

Quick comparison

AguiardStatIlagan
54%Hard W%60%
60%1st serve % (L5)60%
70%1st serve won (L5)70%
50%BP conv (L5)50%
7Aces (L5 avg)7